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The Tirzepatide Trial Library

Every number quoted on this site, traced to the study it came from — with the design, the population, the dose and the effect size.

Short answer

Marketing pages quote '20% weight loss' without telling you it comes from the 15 mg arm of a 72-week trial in people without diabetes. This library gives you the source for every claim: what was measured, in whom, at what dose, against what comparator.

20 studies indexed, weighted toward tirzepatide, with the key semaglutide trials included for comparison.

Every trial, graded on the same rubric

An evidence grade here measures how much weight a result can carry, not whether the result was favourable. A large event-driven outcome trial outranks a small open-label comparison even when the smaller trial reports a more dramatic number. Every input is visible, so you can disagree with the weighting and recompute it.

Trial library graded — 20 studies. Grade is computed from the rubric below.
TrialDesignComparator nEndpointGrade
SURPASS-CVOTDouble-blindActive comparator13,299Clinical events95/100 High
Tirzepatide cardiovascular meta-analysisDouble-blindActive comparator13,000Clinical events95/100 High
SELECTDouble-blindPlacebo17,604Clinical events85/100 High
SUMMITDouble-blindPlacebo731Clinical events75/100 High
SURMOUNT-1Double-blindPlacebo2,539Surrogate70/100 Moderate
ATTAIN-1Double-blindPlacebo3,127Surrogate70/100 Moderate
STEP-1Double-blindPlacebo1,961Surrogate70/100 Moderate
SURPASS J-monoDouble-blindActive comparator636Surrogate70/100 Moderate
Time to weight plateau (SURMOUNT-1 and -4 analysis)Double-blindPlacebo2,539Surrogate70/100 Moderate
SURPASS-3Open-labelActive comparator1,444Surrogate65/100 Moderate
SURPASS-4Open-labelActive comparator2,002Surrogate65/100 Moderate
SURMOUNT-4Double-blindPlacebo670Surrogate60/100 Moderate
SURMOUNT-OSADouble-blindPlacebo469Surrogate60/100 Moderate
SURMOUNT-3Double-blindPlacebo806Surrogate60/100 Moderate
SURMOUNT-2Double-blindPlacebo938Surrogate60/100 Moderate
SURMOUNT-5Open-labelActive comparator751Surrogate55/100 Moderate
STEP-8Open-labelActive comparator338Surrogate55/100 Moderate
SURPASS-2Open-labelActive comparator1,879Surrogate50/100 Limited
SURPASS-1Double-blindPlacebo478Surrogate45/100 Limited
GIP receptor pharmacologySurrogate5/100 Low
The grading rubric — total 100 points.
CriterionPoints
Randomised allocation20
Participants and investigators blinded15
Active comparator rather than placebo10
1,000 or more participants10
52 weeks or longer15
Clinical events rather than a surrogate endpoint15
Prospectively registered10
Funding independent of the manufacturer5

Two things this grade deliberately does not do

It does not reward a favourable result, and it does not penalise industry funding beyond a single five-point independence criterion. Almost every trial in this field is manufacturer-funded; treating that as disqualifying would leave nothing to read. What matters is that sponsorship is disclosed on every page, along with the sponsor's role in design, analysis and drafting.

It also cannot grade what was never published. Selective reporting is invisible to a rubric applied to published reports, which is why prospective registration carries points and why every trial here links to its own registry record.

Estimands, in one paragraph

Modern trials report the same result under more than one estimand — a precise statement of the question being answered. The treatment-regardless-of-adherence estimand (often called the treatment policy estimand) asks what happened to everyone randomised, including people who stopped the drug early or started another one. The efficacy estimand asks what would have happened if everyone had stayed on treatment as assigned. The efficacy estimand almost always produces a larger number, because it removes the people for whom the drug did not work well enough to keep taking. Marketing tends to quote the efficacy figure; a patient deciding whether to start should generally weigh the treatment-regardless figure, because it includes the possibility of being someone who stops.

2022 · tirzepatide · n=2,539 adults

SURMOUNT-1

Does tirzepatide cause weight loss in adults with obesity and without diabetes?

2025 · tirzepatide · n=751 adults

SURMOUNT-5

Head-to-head: tirzepatide vs semaglutide for weight loss in adults with obesity and without diabetes.

2024 · tirzepatide · n=670 adults randomized after lead-in

SURMOUNT-4

What happens if you stop tirzepatide after reaching a maintenance dose?

2024 · tirzepatide · n=469 adults across both trials

SURMOUNT-OSA

Does tirzepatide treat obstructive sleep apnea in adults with obesity?

2021 · tirzepatide · n=1,879 adults

SURPASS-2

Tirzepatide vs semaglutide 1 mg in type 2 diabetes.

2025 · tirzepatide · n=13,299 adults

SURPASS-CVOT

Cardiovascular outcomes with tirzepatide vs dulaglutide in type 2 diabetes with established ASCVD.

2025 · tirzepatide · n=731 adults

SUMMIT

Tirzepatide in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction and obesity.

2023 · tirzepatide · n=806 adults

SURMOUNT-3

Does tirzepatide add further loss after a successful intensive lifestyle program?

2023 · tirzepatide · n=938 adults

SURMOUNT-2

Tirzepatide for obesity in adults who also have type 2 diabetes.

2026 · orforglipron · n=3,127 adults

ATTAIN-1

Oral small-molecule GLP-1 (orforglipron) for weight management.

2021 · semaglutide · n=1,961 adults

STEP-1

Semaglutide 2.4 mg for weight management without diabetes.

2023 · semaglutide · n=17,604 adults

SELECT

Does semaglutide reduce cardiovascular events in people with obesity but without diabetes?

2022 · semaglutide · n=338 adults

STEP-8

Semaglutide 2.4 mg vs liraglutide 3.0 mg.

2025 · tirzepatide · n=—

GIP receptor pharmacology

Why does adding GIP agonism to GLP-1 agonism produce more weight loss?

2021 · tirzepatide · n=478 adults

SURPASS-1

Does tirzepatide alone control blood glucose in type 2 diabetes not already on medication?

2021 · tirzepatide · n=1,444 adults

SURPASS-3

How does tirzepatide compare with basal insulin added to metformin?

2021 · tirzepatide · n=2,002 adults

SURPASS-4

Is tirzepatide safe and effective in people with type 2 diabetes at high cardiovascular risk?

2022 · tirzepatide · n=636 adults

SURPASS J-mono

Does tirzepatide work the same way in a Japanese population?

2022 · tirzepatide · n=Over 13,000 participants

Tirzepatide cardiovascular meta-analysis

Does tirzepatide increase cardiovascular risk across the trial programme?

2025 · tirzepatide · n=Participants of SURMOUNT-1 and SURMOUNT-4

Time to weight plateau (SURMOUNT-1 and -4 analysis)

When does weight loss on tirzepatide actually stop?

Primary sources

Clinical, dosing and regulatory statements on this page rest on the documents below. Links go to the publisher, not to a summary of it. Prices are not sourced here — they carry a verification date instead, and the reason is set out in the source ledger.

  1. ZEPBOUND (tirzepatide) full prescribing information — DailyMed, US National Library of Medicine. Dose ladder, contraindications, warnings, storage.
  2. FDA’s concerns with unapproved GLP-1 drugs used for weight loss — US Food and Drug Administration. Compounded GLP-1 risks, API import alert, cold-chain complaints.
  3. FD&C Act provisions that apply to human drug compounding — US Food and Drug Administration. Why a compounded preparation is lawful without being FDA-approved.
  4. Tirzepatide once weekly for the treatment of obesity (SURMOUNT-1) — N Engl J Med 2022;387:205-216. Registration NCT04184622. The weight-reduction and adverse-event figures used across this site.
  5. The full source ledger — every primary source, what it supports, the date we read it, and the claims we deliberately do not source.